Trump After the Midterms: Limited at Home, Free Abroad?
A blue wave could hinder Trump's domestic agenda but still leave his foreign policy unchecked
Will Putin Order a New Draft? Russia’s Mobilization Risk
Putin appears determined to avoid a general mobilization. But will the mounting death toll in Ukraine force his hand?
How Iran Outsources Attacks to Criminal Gangs and Proxies
Iran is tapping into the gig economy for attacks abroad via gangs, drug traffickers, and other for-hire criminal proxies. How prepared is the West?
Why AI Labs Can’t Slow Down: The Prisoner’s Dilemma Explained
AI labs are warning of extinction-level threats and say they want to slow down. Game theory explains why none of them is likely to do so.
Do the Middle Powers Have a Plan?
Canada is leading a new “Middle-Power” push to rebuild the world’s crumbling multilateral order. Shared unease with US and Chinese leadership may not be enough to construct an alternative.
